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Bird Flu Would Ravage U.s., White House Warns
By Health Care Info | March 10, 2010
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A government report says an outbreak could kill 2 million people and too much in isolation, travel restrictions and an economic downturn.
The White House on Wednesday unveiled a clue about the unwillingness of the nation for a flu pandemic, warning that such an outbreak could kill as many as 2 million people and treat a war like blow to economic and social fabric of the country. He appealed to state and local governments to make their own arrangements about the federal efforts.
In the first detailed look at the government of the potential impact on public health and U.S. society as a whole, the report is a full-pandemic could travel restrictions, mandatory quarantine, massive absenteeism, an economic downturn and civil unrest and disturbances in public policy. “
He warned that the health sector – including doctors, nurses and suppliers of medicines – which is enough to meet the needs of the country in a flu pandemic. “In the case of multiple simultaneous outbreaks, it may not be enough medical resources to expand the staff of local capacity,” the report warns.
More broadly, state, local and tribal governments should anticipate that all sources of external assistance will be placed in a pandemic risk, “she said, which means that” local communities to the medical and non-medical impact of pandemic who will address available resources. “
While warning that as a last resort, mandatory travel restrictions may be necessary, such limits alone is unlikely that the total number of people who are ill or reduce the impact of the pandemic on any community. “
Some observers welcomed the report of the blunt tone.
Michael Osterholm, an expert on the disease, which has long warned that the nation is ill prepared for an avian flu pandemic, praised the 234-page report as “a very important step forward.”
”It was a brutally honest, but very fair … assessment of where we are,” Osterholm, director is the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, said in a telephone interview. He said he had no role in drafting the report.
The document contains the plan of the White House Homeland Security Council, a national strategy in the face of a flu pandemic, for which Congress appropriated to implement $ 3. 8 billion in December.
The strategy is built on three elements: preparation, surveillance and detection and containment. And listed in the report, more than 300 steps that it said would make the administration had already begun to take, or would recommend that follow state and local governments.
In an accompanying letter, President Bush said the government had made “major investment in the development of vaccines and antivirals, the study of influenza virus, surveillance for disease in animals and people at local, state and federal infrastructure necessary to respond to a pandemic. “
But the report noted that only a bare beginning had been to so far focused on the preparation for the kind of large, representing months of a flu pandemic would be catastrophic.
And critics were quick to attack what they said was the administration slow response.
As Frances Fragos Townsend, the president of the national security adviser, and that the report be submitted to Senator Edward M. Kennedy of Massachusetts, the senior Democrat in the Senate Health Committee report on its own, that the administration for what they say, chastened was a failure, the country’s preparations for a flu pandemic.
Speech in the Senate, “Kennedy said the administration suffered from” competence-deficit disorder “and said the White House report is the third attempt to write a flu plan.
”No amount of revision of the fact that other nations have, have to implement their plans by year, can disguise, while we wait for our first read today,” said Kennedy. “The United States is on the back of the line when ordering essential flu medicines, and we are on the underside of the International League with a coordinated national strategy.”
There have been no verified cases of bird flu in two wild birds or domestic poultry in North America, and the spread of disease from human to human has not been documented.
But, says the report, scientists believe that birds played a role in two global influenza pandemics in the last 50 years, killed millions of people. He said that since the influenza strain known as H5N1 appeared in humans in Hong Kong in 1997, it has spread throughout Asia and in Africa and Europe and has infected more than 200 people, with more than 50% of them.
For the Bush administration, the report provides an opportunity to try to reach, for a potential disaster after the criticism they prepare for their sustained response to Hurricane Katrina at the beginning of his second term, and, four years ago to demonstrate that the failure of the intelligence agencies were not to blame for securing the nation against the 11th September attacks.
Considering the specific requirements that a pandemic on the nation to impose, the report states that workplace absenteeism could reach 40%.
To illustrate what this could mean the effects of high levels of absenteeism, said Osterholm, the oil industry had reported in its preparations for a seminar that the refineries could work, if not 30% of workers are present – a number that suggesting that a pandemic could have a domino effect in effect throughout the economy.
Although the study “formation of the government and hopefully the public praised the fact that the pandemic is not only crisis situation,” Kim Elliott, deputy director of health policy nonprofit Trust for America’s Health, they said failed to address the costs of implementing .
She said Congress funds covered nearly half of the 7 U.S. dollars. 1 billion that Bush would be needed in the past year.
To ensure that you are fully responsible for the crisis, check out: prepare bird flu preparations
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